Tuesday, July 12, 2011 - 5:52 PM
Last Friday, we discussed what happens when one adopts a my-way-or-the-highway approach to energy development, in this case opposition to Canadian oil sands. You get what we already have, which is projections of $150-a-barrel oil and $4.50-a-gallon gasoline, the product of a belief that, starting next year or soon thereafter, oil demand will start to exceed supply. This state of affairs vexes Christophe de Margerie, the CEO of France's Total oil company, who met with a small group over breakfast this morning at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. "If you say no to shale oil, no to heavy oil, no to Iran -- no, no, no, no -- what about life?" de Margerie said. Oil companies must be responsible in how they work, but everyone else must grasp that they actually need oil, and will for many decades to come, he said.
De Margerie is refreshing on two fronts -- his wicked sense of humor (Note to oil CEOs: it is possible to be funny and successful) and among the clearest minds on the oil patch. When we last visited with de Margerie, he was on a similar bent -- he was saying that the world is fast approaching the maximum volume of oil it can possibly produce, which he reckons is about 95 million barrels a day; that's just 8 percentage points higher than the 88 million barrels a day the world consumes at the moment. Today, he dove deeply into the wrong-headedness of attempting, at least at the moment, to weed out large energy supplies that one will and will not accept. When it comes to oil, we need all of it.
We still want to drive our cars at will, and own all the plastic gadgets in our homes. We want to fly off to Costa Rica and Bangkok. Not incidentally, we would like our helicopter-borne armies not to worry if they wish on the spur of the moment to capture Osama bin Ladin. That is the stuff that's at risk.
So among other things, the United States would be shrewd to accept the added 500,000 barrels a day to be produced from oil sands in the Canadian province of Alberta, which has been under long scrutiny because of the pollution produced when it is mined and refined. At the same time, Chesapeake Energy CEO Aubrey McClendon might stop congratulating himself for a billion-dollar venture-capital subsidiary aimed at creating demand for surplus shale gas, and instead act aggressively to become super-transparent and police the bad actors who are driving doubts about his industry.
Please don't say "we" when we are referring only to yourself and certain other people. You may be a self-confessed hypocrite about oil, and you certainly aren't alone, but I'm not with you. I'm thirty-eight, and I have never owned a car. I don't take long haul flights on a whim. I buy very little plastic. So leave me out of it.
As for those who do belong in that "we", they will have to feel the pain at some point, so better to start now than later. Finding ways to make oil cheap for a little longer only passes on the problem to your children. They won't thank you.
The computer on which you typed this message? Probably plastic. The chair you are sitting in? Unless it's wooden, it is probably plastic, or has some plastic parts. The floor on which the chair sits? A good chance it is plastic. The same with the building in which you are located -- a lot of plastic. The medicines in your medicine chest, the accouterments in your kitchen, the street you walk on, or the bus or train in which you ride, the store in which you shop -- all of that is largely or partly from hydrocarbons. I understand generally what you mean, but take a hard look at your surroundings.
How much pollution do these oil sands give out? Are they a little worse than regular oil wells?
So you wants to be left "out of it"? Sorry, but you are "in it", like it or not. You say that you have never owned a car. Does this mean that you travel everywhere by foot or by horse? It's possible, but I really doubt it. Car ownership is not even the issue. The issue is how you get from point A to point B on a daily basis - and your mode of travel most likely involves an internal combustion engine, burning mostly oil-based liquids.
You may not take flights "on a whim". But it sounds like you still take some "serious" flights, and one of those serious flights can burn as much jet fuel as a flight taken on a whim. You may minimize your use of plastics and that's great, but no one in the modern world lives without plastic. As someone else mentioned, the PC on which you typed this message contains loads of plastic. And even if you made a PC with a wooden case and keys made from shells, the internal parts would still require plastic, metals, silicon, etc - all of which require tremendous amounts of energy to mine, refine and manufacture. And we haven't even talked about the energy (oil, gas and coal) required to build, maintain and power the Internet and its telecom infrastructure - and I can safely assume you are an Internet user.
Even if you do manage to live without any modern conveniences, and even if you walk to work and everywhere else you go, you still have to eat food. And unless you grow all of it yourself, your daily food will be grown, harvested and delivered to you using gasoline or diesel fuel, and lots of it.
Some may be better than others, but for better or worse we are all "in it together".
The Hawks and Chameleons USE PLASTIC TOO
No lie. I flew to Florida on an areoplane to visit friends at the UofF.
In the city I saw the hawks sitting on PLASTIC railings on top of the buildings.
I said, "Do you use plastic? Are you an industrial parasite too !?!?!"
The Hawks ignored me, but the chameleons hiding in the bushes next to me just laughed at my stupidity.
"The plastic is here for now, so we will sit on it" said one of the Chameleons. The other one said he sometimes watches television through the window of the student dorm rooms.
And to the sparrow at the outdoor cafe who was picking up pieces of food from under the tables I said, "HA! YOU ARE ONE OF US !!!!. He smiled at me and said no, he is just cleaning up after us until we are gone.
Steve, you cannot blame them can you? You might even admire them - picking the meat off the bones before the industrial piglets are even dead yet ;)
If the price of oil doesn't rise the demand for alternative solutions will never rise because the "oil system" now has fantastic economy of scale advantages.
As someone who believes in the scientific process I would like the use of fossil fuels to decrease as fast as possible. Since I, also, believe rationing will only lead to corruption I prefer to let, regulated, market forces drive the adaptation to a zero CO2 society.
When Americans buy 4$/gallon gasoline they drive 20 mpg cars. I buy 10$/gallon gasoline, I drive a 60 mpg car. See how it works?
It is too bad you cannot accept reality. A decade ago, I was still in the "bargaining" stage - just like you are now.
Steve, have you ever heard of SCIENCE?
It is not magic - it will not save you.
Do you know how to feed and shelter yourself without your precious fossil fueled industrial world?
We in the 3rd world still do it every day.
Good riddance to the industrial parasites.
Go ahead and delete this post too. Poor pathetic parasites.
Mr. LeVine's approach is more realistic than some people talking about global warming and trying to get credit about saving the world in a thousand year. He mentions Canadian oil sands, but it applies to Alaska and other preservation areas too. At this time, high oil prices hurts the US economy and make gains to many corrupt and authoritarian regimes in the Middle East, the former Soviet Union and North Africa. As western governments and private corporations sign long-term contract to explore and service oil fields in countries like Russia and Azerbaijan, ruling clans use it as leverage to blackmail open societies to recognize as equal partners while oppressing their nations. Instead using wealth gained from these oil contracts, 'elite' group sitting at the top of corrupt regimes use money for their own benefits without investing in countries' future and building right infrastructures. While the US and other western big corporations provide big wealth to these third World countries, the US taxpayers still end up sending foreign aids through Congressional programs. the World Bank and IMF projects, and non-transparent the UN programs. In addition, many people escape their own countries to immigrate to the US and other western democracies for better life need to be supported by welfare system financed through same taxpayers. It is one big devil's circle where we build a strong and centralized government and losing our own liberties while not being able to share basic human rights values and beliefs with the rest of the world.
The so called West is not as guilt free as you make them out to be. And as we are in the middle of a financial crisis that is not over, regardless of what economists or government officials try to tell us, the West has an expiration date. I suggest you read the Decline and Fall of the West.
It's possible, but I really doubt it. Car ownership is not even the issue. The issue is how you get from point A to point B on a daily basis - and your mode of travel most likely involves an internal combustion engine, burning mostly oil-based liquids.You may not take flights "on a whim". But it sounds like you still take some "serious" flights, and one of those serious flights can burn as much jet fuel as a flight taken on a whim. You may minimize your use of plastics stávkové kancelárie and that's great, but no one in the modern world lives without plastic. As someone else mentioned, the PC on which you typed this message contains loads of plastic. And even if you made a PC with a wooden case and keys made from shells, the internal parts would still require plastic, metals, silicon, etc - all of which require tremendous amounts of energy to mine, refine and manufacture.
At this time, high oil prices hurts the US economy and make gains to many corrupt and authoritarian regimes in the Middle East, the former Soviet Union and North Africa. As western governments and private corporations sign long-term contract to explore and service oil fields in countries like Russia and Azerbaijan, ruling clans use it as leverage to blackmail open societies to recognize as equal partners while oppressing their nations. Instead using wealth sázkové tipy gained from these oil contracts, 'elite' group sitting at the top of corrupt regimes use money for their own benefits without investing in countries' future and building right infrastructures. While the US and other western big corporations provide big wealth to these third World countries
Why the no no no chorus has it wrong in oil
To begin with, one of the most revealing speeches about world oil reserves went unremarked in 2006..
What does it mean? Why does this view of world reserves conflict so dramatically with the oil industry's view?
Probably most important for world oil policy, the Middle East does not have two thirds of all world oil reserves, as has long been claimed by the Saudis, the oil companies and the US Dept. of Energy. It only has two thirds of "proven" oil reserves which are far smaller than the potential reserves lexi belle describes.
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